Home Win Rate Analysis – Home Advantage Across Teams

By abhishek.verma75000 · April 3, 2026

This analysis examines home win rates across 20 English football teams to understand home advantage and performance gaps. Manchester United recorded the…

The gap between the highest and lowest home win rates among the top 20 teams is 34.46% . Manchester United leads with a 72.86% home win rate, while Swansea City sits at the bottom with 38.40%. A horizontal bar chart has been generated showing all 20 teams ranked by their home win rates, color-coded from red (lowest) to green (highest) for easy comparison.

The analysis successfully identified the 5 teams with the highest home win rates. A bar chart and data table have been generated showing each team's exact home win percentage, ranked from highest to lowest.

4 teams achieve a home win rate above 60%, demonstrating dominant home advantage. These teams are Manchester United, Arsenal, Chelsea, and Liverpool. A horizontal bar chart has been generated showing all teams ranked by their home win rates, with a red dashed line marking the 60% threshold for easy comparison.

The analysis identified the 5 teams with the lowest home win rates, representing the weakest home advantage in the dataset. A horizontal bar chart has been generated showing these teams ranked from lowest to highest home win rate, with color intensity indicating performance levels.

The analysis successfully produced a chart and data table showing home win rates across all teams, with a clear 50% threshold line highlighting which teams struggle at home. Teams appearing to the left of the red dashed line in the bar chart are those losing more than winning on their home turf.

Yes, there are 2 teams whose home win rate falls more than 1.5 standard deviations from the mean. The average home win rate across all teams is 48.80%, with a standard deviation of 10.12%. This means the normal range spans from 33.63% to 63.98% — any team outside this range is considered an outlier. A data table has been generated showing the details of these outlier teams.

The mean home win rate (48.80%) is slightly higher than the median (46.34%), with a difference of 2.46 percentage points. This indicates a right (positive) skew in the data, confirmed by a skewness coefficient of 1.024. A histogram was generated showing the full distribution with both the mean (red dashed line) and median (green dashed line) marked for easy comparison.

The analysis produced a visualization showing how teams are distributed across the four performance tiers based on their home win rates. A pie chart was generated showing the proportion of teams in each tier: Elite ( 65%), Strong (55-65%), Average (45-55%), and Weak (<45%), with each tier color-coded for easy identification.

The average home win rate across all 20 teams is 48.80%. Out of 20 teams, 8 teams exceed this average, meaning they win more than half their home games on average.

The bar chart shows home win rates for all teams, with color-coded horizontal bands highlighting groups of teams that fall within 2 percentage points of each other. Teams sharing the same color band are in competitive parity — meaning their home win rates are so close that no single team stands out as dominant within that group.

The top 5 teams significantly outperform the bottom 5 in home win rates. The top 5 — Manchester United, Arsenal, Chelsea, Liverpool, and Manchester City — average a 63.57% home win rate, while the bottom 5 — Reading, Aston Villa, Sheffield Wednesday, Wimbledon, and Swansea City — average just 39.32%. That's a gap of 24.25 percentage points. A bar chart has been generated showing each team's home win rate side by side, with dashed lines marking the average for each group.

The standard deviation of home win rates across teams is 10.12%, with an average home win rate of 48.80%. This indicates moderate variation in home advantage, but with significant differences between teams. A horizontal bar chart has been generated showing each team's home win rate, color-coded from red (lower) to green (higher), with a dashed line marking the mean.

Just 2 out of 20 teams (10%) have a home win rate between 48% and 52%, which suggests that the vast majority of teams do benefit from playing at home. The two teams in this 'neutral zone' are Newcastle United and Leeds United.

Manchester United exceeds the league average home win rate by the largest margin. With a home win rate of 72.86%, they outperform the league average of 48.80% by 24.06 percentage points. A bar chart and data table have been generated showing each team's margin above or below the league average.

The upper quartile threshold for home win rates sits at 53.42%. Five teams clear this benchmark: Manchester United, Arsenal, Chelsea, Liverpool, and Manchester City. Together, these top-performing sides share a collective average home win rate of 63.57%, well above the rest of the league. A data table has been generated showing the full breakdown of home win rates across all teams.

The home win rate threshold that separates the top 10 teams from the bottom 10 is approximately 46.34%. Everton sits at the 10th spot with a 47.39% home win rate, while Fulham (11th) has a 45.30% rate. The midpoint between these two values gives us the 46.34% threshold. A bar chart was generated showing all teams ranked by home win rate, with the top 10 highlighted in green and the bottom 10 in red, and an orange dashed line marking the threshold.

The home win rate declines quite steeply from Rank 1 to Rank 20. Manchester United leads at 72.86%, while Swansea City sits at the bottom with 38.4% — a total drop of 34.46 percentage points across 20 teams. On average, each rank step down costs about 1.81 percentage points. The chart shows this downward curve visually, making it easy to see where the decline is gradual versus sharp.

The interquartile range (IQR) of home win rates is 12.87 percentage points. The middle 50% of teams have home win rates that fall between 40.55% (Q1) and 53.42% (Q3), with a median of 46.34%. This means most teams cluster around a moderate home win rate just under 50%. A box plot with all individual data points has been generated, visually highlighting the IQR zone in light blue along with Q1, Q3, and median reference lines.