LPG Price Trends in India (2020–2026): Growth, Volatility, Forecast and Consumer Cost Impact

By abhishek.verma75000 · March 23, 2026

“A Data Story on How Cooking Gas Prices Changed Over Time and What May Happen Next.”

The average month-over-month change in LPG Price RS across the dataset is ₹18.00. This means that, on average, LPG prices have increased by ₹18 each month over the period covered in the data.

The month with the lowest LPG price was April 2020 (2020-04), with a price of ₹581. A line chart has been generated showing the full trend of monthly LPG prices, with the lowest point clearly annotated.

The month with the highest LPG price was May 2022 (2022-05), with a price of ₹1003. A bar chart has been generated showing LPG monthly prices over time, with the peak month highlighted in red for easy identification.

A total of 5 months recorded LPG prices above ₹900. Prices first crossed that threshold in March 2022. A data table has been generated showing the specific months where prices exceeded this level.

LPG prices increased by 27.73% from January 2020 to March 2026. The price started at ₹714 and reached ₹912, reflecting a total rise of ₹198 over this period.

LPG prices show a clear overall upward trend from 2020 to 2026. Starting at ₹714, prices climbed to ₹912 — a 27.7% increase over the period. A line chart has been generated showing the full price trajectory, and a data table is also available for detailed reference.

The largest consecutive month price decrease in Price RS occurred between January 2020 and April 2020, where the price dropped from ₹714 to ₹581 — a decrease of ₹133.

The bar chart shows how the average LPG Price (RS) has changed across different years in the dataset. Each bar represents the yearly average price, color-coded by value intensity, making it easy to spot price increases or decreases over time. A data table is also available with the exact figures for each year.

The standard deviation of month-over-month LPG price changes is ₹84.22, which reflects a moderate-to-high level of price volatility. On average, prices changed by ₹18.00 per month. A bar chart has been generated showing each month's price change, with green bars for increases and red bars for decreases, along with dashed lines marking the +1 and -1 standard deviation thresholds.

The consecutive month pair with the largest absolute price change in Price RS was January 2020 → April 2020. During this period, the price dropped by 133 RS, falling from 714 RS to 581 RS. While the question asked about the largest 'increase,' this was actually a decrease — but it represents the single biggest absolute price movement between any two consecutive months in the dataset.

The longest streak of consecutive monthly price increases in Price RS lasted 6 months, running from July 2020 to May 2022. During this period, LPG prices rose continuously without a single month of decline.

The Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of LPG Price RS over the full period from January 2020 to March 2026 (~6.16 years) is 4.05% per year . The price grew from ₹714 to ₹912 during this time.

The analysis produced a visualization of LPG monthly prices over time, with any stable periods (where Price RS remained unchanged between consecutive months) highlighted using red star markers on the chart. The blue line shows the full price trend across all months, making it easy to spot where prices held steady versus where they changed.

Based on a linear trend analysis of historical Price RS data, LPG prices are on an upward trajectory with a slope of ₹30.8 per month. Starting from the last known price of ₹912 in March 2026, the projected prices for the next three months are: April 2026 – ₹1,004, May 2026 – ₹1,035, and June 2026 – ₹1,065. A chart showing the historical price trend, the fitted trend line, and the 3-month projection has been generated for visual reference.

The rate of LPG price increase is accelerating in recent months. This means the month-over-month price changes are growing larger over time, not smaller. A visualization has been generated showing both the price change per month (blue line) and the acceleration trend (red dashed line), making it easy to see how the pace of price increases is evolving.

The Price RS distribution is slightly left (negatively) skewed with a skewness of -0.338. The median (835.50) is higher than the mean (803.58) by about 32 points, which is a classic sign of negative skew — a longer left tail where some lower prices pull the mean downward. A histogram has been generated showing both reference lines (red for mean, green for median) so you can visually see this asymmetry.

Based on the exponential growth trend in LPG prices, the 2020 starting price of ₹714 is projected to double to ₹1,428 by approximately May 2031. This means it would take around 11.3 years (136 months) from the 2020 baseline for the price to double. A data table has been generated summarizing these findings.

From the 2020 baseline price of ₹714 per cylinder, the cumulative additional cost burden has been analyzed through March 2026. The latest price stands at ₹912, meaning each cylinder now costs ₹198 more than the baseline. Across all periods combined, the total cumulative additional burden sums to ₹1,075. A bar and line chart has been generated showing the monthly additional cost (bars) alongside the growing cumulative burden (red line) over time.